New Delhi (ABC Live) — India’s defence modernisation story shows a persistent gap between announcement and outcome. On one hand, large approvals create strategic signalling. On the other hand, frontline capability often arrives years later because delays, cost escalation, and sustainment bottlenecks slow execution. This DAC ₹3.60 lakh crore AoN explained article shows why intent
New Delhi (ABC Live) — India’s defence modernisation story shows a persistent gap between announcement and outcome. On one hand, large approvals create strategic signalling. On the other hand, frontline capability often arrives years later because delays, cost escalation, and sustainment bottlenecks slow execution.
This DAC ₹3.60 lakh crore AoN explained article shows why intent alone does not create military power. Instead, it maps how India must convert approvals into contracts, deliveries, and frontline availability.
Against this backdrop, the Defence Acquisition Council decided on 12 February 2026 to accord Acceptance of Necessity (AoN) for proposals worth about ₹3.60 lakh crore. Importantly, this figure does not represent spending. Rather, it represents a statement of intent—what India plans to pursue, not what India has already purchased.
More importantly, AoN sits at the starting point of the procurement pipeline. At present, authorities have not signed contracts. Likewise, negotiators have not fixed prices. Similarly, planners have not frozen quantities. Moreover, officials have not locked timelines. Therefore, the real contest begins after AoN, inside a long and complex execution chain.
At the same time, the Ministry of Defence has released the Draft Defence Acquisition Procedure-2026 (DAP-2026) for consultation. Consequently, the procurement rulebook itself sits in motion. ABC Live has analysed these reforms in detail here:
👉 https://abclive.in/2026/02/11/draft-dap-2026-india-defence-procurement/
Ultimately, the central question is not how large the AoN figure is. Rather, the real question is whether India can convert intent into capability—on time, within cost, and with genuine self-reliance.
DAC ₹3.60 Lakh Crore AoN Explained: Why Intent Is Not Capability
To begin with, AoN only clears an entry gate. In contrast, a signed contract creates a legal and financial obligation. Therefore, readers should treat the ₹3.60 lakh crore figure as a pipeline indicator, not as immediate expenditure.
Why AoN Is Not Spending
First, AoN confirms the requirement. Second, it authorises the next steps. However, it still does not lock money, quantity, or timelines.
| Parameter | What AoN Means | What AoN Does NOT Mean |
|---|---|---|
| Legal status | Acceptance of the capability need | Contract signed |
| Financial status | Indicative ceiling | Budget released |
| Quantity | Tentative | Frozen |
| Price | Not negotiated | Finalised |
| Timeline | Undefined | Locked |
Historical conversion pattern (approximate)
| Outcome Category | Share of AoN Value |
|---|---|
| Converts to a contract | 60–70% |
| Delayed/rescoped | 20–25% |
| Dropped | 5–10% |
As a result, the implied realistic contract potential from ₹3.60 lakh crore equals:
≈ ₹2.1–₹2.5 lakh crore over 5–10 years
Service-Wise Indicative Allocation (Analytical Estimate)
Broadly, the distribution tilts toward air and naval power, while the Army’s share emphasises readiness and life-extension.
| Service | Share (%) | Value (₹ lakh crore) | Dominant Cost Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indian Air Force | 45% | 1.62 | Fighters, missiles, and ISR |
| Indian Navy | 28% | 1.01 | P8I + power systems |
| Indian Army | 20% | 0.72 | Overhauls + mines |
| Coast Guard | 7% | 0.25 | Sensors |
| Total | 100% | 3.60 |
Therefore, nearly three-quarters of the AoN envelope targets air and naval capabilities.
Platform Category vs Cost Structure
In practice, sustainment drives long-term cost. For that reason, governments must price and govern life-cycle commitments early.
| Category | Acquisition Cost Share | Lifecycle / Sustainment Share |
|---|---|---|
| Fighter aircraft | 30–35% | 65–70% |
| Maritime patrol aircraft | 25–30% | 70–75% |
| Missiles | 45–50% | 50–55% |
| Ground platform overhauls | 55–60% | 40–45% |
| Sensors (EO/IR) | 60–65% | 35–40% |
In other words, the largest fiscal risk lies not in purchase price, but in three to four decades of sustainment.
For deeper context on how rules shape outcomes, see ABC Live’s DAP-2026 explainer:
👉 https://abclive.in/2026/02/11/draft-dap-2026-india-defence-procurement/
(i) Cost–Risk Heat Map (Quantified)
Notably, the most expensive systems often sit in the highest-risk bracket. Therefore, the state must enforce strict governance on red-zone items.
Scale: 1 = Low | 5 = Very High
| System | Technical Risk | Cost Risk | Sustainment Risk | Composite |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRFA Fighters | 5 | 5 | 5 | 🔴 |
| P8I Aircraft | 4 | 5 | 5 | 🔴 |
| AS-HAPS | 5 | 4 | 4 | 🔴 |
| 4 MW Marine Turbine (Make-I) | 5 | 4 | 3 | 🔴 |
| Combat Missiles | 3 | 3 | 3 | 🟡 |
| ARV/T-72/BMP-II Overhaul | 3 | 3 | 3 | 🟡 |
| EO/IR Dornier | 2 | 2 | 3 | 🟡 |
| Vibhav Mines | 1 | 1 | 1 | 🟢 |
(ii) AoN → Contract → Induction Timeline (Typical)
First: Year 0 – AoN
Next: Year 1 – RFP issued
Then: Year 2–3 – Trials & technical evaluation
After that: Year 3–4 – Commercial negotiation
Subsequently: Year 4–5 – Contract signing
Thereafter: Year 6–7 – First deliveries
Finally: Year 8–10 – Full operational capability
Meanwhile, large Indian defence programmes typically suffer two to four years of delay beyond initial schedules.
Capability Uplift vs Gap Coverage
Overall, AoN narrows several gaps. However, it does not close all of them, especially where force structure requires large-scale replacement.
| Domain | Current Gap Level | AoN Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Fighter squadron strength | Very High | Partial |
| Precision deep strike | High | Strong |
| Persistent ISR | High | Moderate |
| Armour fleet modernity | High | Low |
| Naval ASW reach | High | Strong |
| Coastal surveillance | Moderate | Strong |
Related reading (Internal link placeholder):
👉 ABC Live: India’s fighter squadron gap and procurement timelines (Replace with your closest relevant defence link)
Indigenous Content Exposure
Equally important, the indigenous share varies sharply by segment. Therefore, India must negotiate IP depth, not just assembly.
| Segment | Likely Indigenous Share |
|---|---|
| Missiles | 70–85% |
| Sensors / EO-IR | 60–75% |
| Airframe structures | 50–60% |
| Engines | 30–40% |
| Mission software | 30–40% |
As a result, assembly in India without deep IP access still creates long-term import dependence.
(iii) Procurement Governance Checklist (DAP-Anchored)
To ensure success, authorities must enforce discipline at every stage. Likewise, auditors should track compliance through measurable milestones.
AoN Stage
✔ Link capability to threat scenario
✔ Prepare lifecycle cost estimate
RFP Stage
✔ Freeze SQRs
✔ Define indigenous content roadmap
Trial Stage
✔ Enforce fixed timelines
✔ Ensure independent oversight
Commercial Stage
✔ Use lifecycle cost as an evaluation factor
✔ Adopt availability-based payments
Contract Stage
✔ Link payments to milestones
✔ Apply penalty + incentive matrix
Sustainment Stage
✔ Build Indian MRO ecosystem
✔ Conduct annual availability audits
Financial Stress-Test Scenarios
For example, even small shocks can significantly change the real cost.
| Scenario | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 10% cost escalation | +₹36,000 crore |
| 20% rupee depreciation | +₹50,000–₹60,000 crore |
| 3-year delay | Capability slippage + obsolescence |
Related reading (Internal link placeholder):
👉 ABC Live: Defence capital outlay and sustainment burden (Replace with your closest finance/defence budget link)
Conclusion
In sum, the DAC AoN of ₹3.60 lakh crore explained here should be understood as a gateway, not a guarantee. It opens doors. However, it does not deliver weapons.
If execution remains weak, India will repeat a familiar cycle: big approvals, long delays, rising costs, and diluted capability. Conversely, if authorities enforce governance, structure contracts well, and plan sustainment from the start, the same AoN package can become a force multiplier for deterrence and a catalyst for defence-industrial self-reliance.
Ultimately, India’s military strength will not be judged by the size of approvals. Instead, it will be judged by frontline availability and by the speed with which India can generate capability in crisis.
ABC Live Editorial Note
This explainer is based on official PIB disclosures, Draft DAP-2026 consultation material, and historical defence procurement performance.
















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